Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 11.412016 13.394277 15.565010 18.111462 21.009317 24.196772 27.960188
2025-04-20 8.582717 11.394308 14.799516 19.190511 24.661841 31.211064 39.595285
2025-04-27 7.006929 10.252539 14.503207 20.390916 28.234074 38.210874 51.730829
2025-05-04 5.735445 9.131133 13.886204 20.879388 30.720305 43.866772 62.503962
2025-05-11 4.668834 8.033937 13.041962 20.812041 32.285226 48.274761 71.830843
2025-05-18 3.789748 7.021675 12.114682 20.417154 33.224995 51.765296 80.026388
2025-05-25 3.095345 6.157463 11.252381 19.951034 33.922548 54.858603 87.766736
2025-06-01 2.541426 5.417466 10.459574 19.453661 34.455081 57.664155 95.185221
2025-06-08 2.019773 4.626081 9.447278 18.437219 34.007506 58.869030 100.182974
2025-06-15 1.837862 4.453527 9.497963 19.229328 36.571858 64.926783 113.021312
2025-06-22 1.629767 4.185001 9.326633 19.590873 38.411305 69.911817 124.428170
2025-06-29 1.375359 3.763251 8.794483 19.213423 38.902985 72.679829 132.377534
2025-07-06 1.089551 3.224188 7.981371 18.276869 38.443955 74.057881 138.568017
2025-07-13 0.999146 3.140335 8.120021 19.259531 41.668715 82.095199 156.648525
2025-07-20 0.931491 3.099013 8.344780 20.443752 45.383865 91.257216 177.239083
2025-07-27 0.826048 2.928670 8.246681 20.929651 47.774425 98.193400 194.351826
2025-08-03 0.704845 2.679109 7.916318 20.861504 49.039629 103.137456 208.202227
2025-08-10 0.587271 2.403771 7.469913 20.465690 49.579469 106.737834 219.806218
2025-08-17 0.486345 2.147747 7.022182 19.998592 49.908034 109.931704 230.816696
2025-08-24 0.401234 1.914979 6.589053 19.500192 50.105797 112.859750 241.466940
2025-08-31 0.314772 1.642152 5.984148 18.481646 49.036974 113.176203 247.137469
2025-09-07 0.292098 1.610994 6.081434 19.275396 52.141847 122.111528 269.913784
2025-09-14 0.260720 1.532245 6.018855 19.637686 54.274621 129.171880 289.368179